Avalanche – How tired buyers, eager sellers are affecting the weak AVAX rally


Avalanche (AVAX) surged 13.71% in less than 18 hours on Tuesday, April 7th. The move from $8.46 to $9.62 came along with high volume. The announcement that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) will introduce Avalanche-built futures in May may have boosted prices.

Avalanche CoinalyzeAvalanche Coinalyze
Source: Coinalyze

The boom in the overall market helped too AVAX cattle. And yet, as Coinalyze’s data showed, the rise in Open Interest paled in comparison to the 13% drop in price. The OI trend showed that the first rally against $9.6 saw a significant increase in OI compared to the second one from Monday.

In contrast, Spot CVD saw a sharp rise in the second session. During this move, the amount of money was negative.

This shows a group of unrelated signals. Putting it all together, speculative interest in the most recent hit of $9.62 was low, but my belief was strong.

And yet, the confidence of the place, including the rise in sales, was not enough for AVAX to break the $9.45-$9.60 zone.

Avalanche 1-day chartAvalanche 1-day chart
Source: AVAX/USDT on TradingView

On the 1 day chart, the swing pattern remained. Although the MFI was moving higher to indicate strong buying pressure and a rapid increase in April, the CMF remained below -0.05 indicating that investment funds have been coming from the AVAX.

The dominance of sellers was evident when the high of $10.34 was not returned in the mid-March session. Since then, the $8.3 position has been reassessed and will see a rebound.

What does it take for cows to thrive?

Hourly avalanche chartHourly avalanche chart
Source: AVAX/USDT on TradingView

The sharp rise in the $9.60 supply zone was indicative of consumer fatigue. They destroyed themselves trying to force an explosion, but the dealers were strong. At the time of writing, CMF and MFI showed a short-term decline.

This goes well with different designs (purple) from $8.56 to $9.46. The second resistance within a few days at the high level means that the center of $9 has been holding strong.

Therefore, traders should be careful with another pull to $ 9 and $ 8.3, instead of waiting for a quick explosion beyond the next $ 9.6.


Brief Summary

  • The announcement that CME Group will launch Avalanche Futures contracts helped start the rally from $8.4 to $9.6.
  • The long-term price structure of AVAX has been subdued, with the altcoin trading within a long range since the end of March.



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