Bitcoin is over in April make recovery from its March low, rising slightly above $79,000. However, not all believe in rebound, and some experts believe that this move is a rally in the middle of the bear market before it is seriously planned.
One such analyst is the one who first predicted the peak coming in July 2025. Now, the same analyst is predicting how far the price of Bitcoin should fall. it really puts it down.
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Expert Uses Past Highs to Predict Bitcoin Down
Crypto Killa Expert he predicted in circles of $121,362 back in June 2025. This call was made a few months before Bitcoin reached $126,100 in October 2025 and was off by about 3.9%. Now, using the same lighting technique that made the call, Killa has turned the genre upside down.
The point of this demonstration is that each successive Bitcoin market produces a small multiple compared to the bottom of the previous cycle, showing the maturity of the stock. Its data in five columns shows a gradual decline from 15.50x in the first cycle to 7.64x, then 6.26x, then 4.47x in Cycle 4, when Bitcoin peaked at $69,800 before dropping to $15,600.
Using the same download, Killa is making the latest round multiple at 3.25x, dividing the $126,100 upside to arrive at a price of $38,800.
To account for the 5% difference that offsets his top prediction, he added in two cases of $40,740 and $42,680. Even above these levels, Bitcoin would still remain below the level of $60,000 that some market participants said is a correction.
The price of Bitcoin. Source: @KillaXBT On X
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $78,015, which means that a move to $42,680 would still require a drop of about 45%, while another drop to $38,800 would be close to a 50% correction from current prices.
Three Years Up, One Year Down
Killa’s bottom view finds support from a different analysis by CryptoBullet expert, who approached the bottom question. from the same angle.
CryptoBullets Weekly Bitcoin chart showed the latest cycle as a five-wave Elliott Wave starting at the end of 2022, with Wave 5 finishing at about $126,000 above in October 2025. The next correction, which is called the WXY correction system in blue, makes the last leg of Wave Y down below $50,000 to $45,000.
Bitcoin Weekly Chart. Source: @CryptoBullet1 On X
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According to the expert, the three years of high prices from November 2022 to the peak of 2025 will not be corrected in less than one year. The current phase of the bear is shown until the second half of 2026 before the end of the earth system.
Image taken from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
