US financial analyst Fidelity is analyzing what it will take for Bitcoin and crypto to return to the bull market.
In a new word for investors, Fidelity more Five old utilities that have ended the crypto winter season since 2011.
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle leads the list. The last bottom was November 2022 and a repeat could mean a bottom around November 2026.
“About every four years, the Bitcoin network is optimized to cut its mining rewards in half.” This limits the amount of new bitcoin.
That said, crypto investors may only want to use 4 years as a way to analyze the big picture, rather than a mechanical way to time the market. The cycle is not exactly 4 years. Some have been long, while others have been short.”
The development of the management system.
The change in monetary policy is the third, with the Fed declining to expand crypto as a risk.
New use cases come in at number 4. NFTs and memecoins drove the previous bull, with global real estate, stablecoins and AI infrastructure showing potential.
“… The catalyst for the crypto bull market could also be something that no one saw coming. Either way, mass adoption could spark new investor excitement and drive new money into crypto.”
Institutionalization is the last on the list, with Fidelity noting that the 2025 US strategic crypto reserve helped push Bitcoin to record.
Loyalty emphasizes that no one can predict when or if a bull market will return, and says investors should only risk what they can afford to lose.
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