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Ahmed Balaha
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The XRP crypto is trading at $1.32, and while the price chart looks fragile, the on-chain data below it tells a different story.
The XRP Chain scarcity indicator on Binance has reached 0.59 – its highest reading since 2024 – as the coin ceases to exchange at a pace that compresses the available pool.
Its size is not hidden. On March 10 alone, approximately $738 million of XRP was withdrawn from major platforms in a single 24-hour window, which analysts described as one of the largest single-day transactions recorded annually.
February saw 7.03 billion XRP coming out of the middle ground, with Binance accounting for about 3.38 billion of that volume. Marketing techniques are changing – but the price hasn’t caught up.
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XRP Price Prediction: Will $1.40 Hold If Exchange Balances Fall?
XRP is fighting the resistance area of $1.40 which analysts have found to be a very difficult place to fight. Below that, the $1.27–$1.30 band represents the next support band.
The daily RSI is moving close to 42 – not sold, but not making signs either. The 50-day EMA is above the normal price, and is attempting to test for an intraday recovery.
The chain gap is really hard here. Whale wallets acquired almost 40 million XRP in March even as US XRP spot ETFs – which now have $1.02 billion in assets – recorded $30.12 million in outflows during the same period.
Most of CoinShares invests in the world’s XRP currency output $130 million per month. Selling schools and buying whales are hitting each other directly at $1.40.
On the chart, $ 1.27 is the most important line, because as long as the price is above it, the story of accumulation remains, especially with the whales coming in and the ETF moving and starting to stabilize, which will open the door to push through $ 1.40 and move higher if the rise follows.
But right now it is very difficult, and XRP seems to be cutting between $ 1.27 and $ 1.40 when the market is showing itself, because you have a lot of opportunities on the one hand and sell to force the other to sell, and no one is in control yet.
If the level of $ 1.27 is broken with volume, the entire setup will begin to fall quickly and open the door to a deep draw, because at that time the price is no longer respecting the zone of accumulation, and it is always ahead of any signal of the chain.
What makes this cycle different is the institutional layer, with players like Bitwise holding large chunks of XRP through ETF products, meaning that even small exits can hit the order book, while Ripple continues to build its base on the back, which is exactly the kind of long-term the big players like to run.
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