Bitcoin remains a bear market but may enter its final stretch, according to the expert chart following the cryptocurrency history cycle of the four-year cycle, it is possible to make as soon as October.
The Bitcoin Cycle Has Already Followed
Bitcoin has historically gone through about a year of bear market followed by three years of bull market, based on historical patterns. The current decline began after Bitcoin’s October 2025 high, putting the cryptocurrency very close to entering its final decline phase. the expert said.
Bitcoin has already reached the $66,230 to $76,640 resistance zone of Q3, a level that the analyst had previously labeled as the ceiling of the session. Refusal would open the way down to $56,500, then $44,000, with $39,000 identified as another target if selling accelerates.
Near-Term Viewing Standards
In the short term, Bitcoin was rejected near $66,300 in mid-July before crossing the rising line, which is now near $65,300 and could act as resistance going forward. The closest support is in the area between $59,369 and $62,533, the analyst says, describing this as an important place to watch for the weekend.
A different resistance band between $64,922 and $66,227 is also being followed as a short-term bounce ceiling, based on the Fibonacci level from the recent high.
Weather Patterns Show August Unchangeable
Weather data reviewed by the analyst shows that August and September have historically been weak months for Bitcoin in previous bear market years, including 2014, 2018, and 2022, while July has been the strongest month of each bear market year. In 2022, Bitcoin extended its gains until mid-August before reversing, a pattern that the analyst said could repeat, although he cautioned that it is not something to sell aggressively.
Example of a Different Time Approaching October
A special cycle tracking tool used by the analyst identifies a 260-day track in Bitcoin prices. That model showed that interest rates rose in late May, which was followed by the current selloff. Based on the rhythm itself, the instrument points to a possible major decline in October this year, with a margin of two to four weeks in either direction.
The expert emphasized that all tools are seasonal and cyclical to explain many trends and not specific predictions, and that there is no way to confirm exactly when or where the Bitcoin bear market will end.
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