Iran accuses the US of violating its nuclear weapons ban

Iran’s President Pezeshkian told Pakistan’s Prime Minister that the US naval blockade is a violation of international humanitarian law. Trump’s ability to accept Iran’s demands in April has arrived 38% YES, down from 62% yesterday.

The Pezeshkian case has affected many related markets. The The peace agreement was established by the April 22 market and to 14.5% YES, down from 40% yesterday. The announcing a fire violation by the April 21 market has jumped to 17.5% YES, from 8%.

The volume tells two different stories. The stable peace market trades $610,678/day in USDC, while the breakout market trades $3,485/day. Order book analysis shows that it only takes $498 to move the market to break 5 points, meaning that one large order can move.

Iran’s statement increases pressure but does not change the situation. The continuation of the blockade is seen as a negotiation process rather than a step towards open conflict. Shopping YES on 38¢ provides a 2.08x return if you expect a diplomatic victory within 11 days. But Pezeshkian’s speech points to entrenched positions, which makes it impossible to do without new approvals from all sides.

Check out Trump’s responses to Social Truth or the White House. Any change in US terms or announcements can move these markets quickly.

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