Mike Waltz’s use of Signal raises doubts about extending the US-Iran ceasefire

Mike Waltz’s use of Signal to coordinate military operations is illuminating, and the possibility of the US-Iran extending the ceasefire by April 21 has collapsed. 20.5% YES, down from 69% a week ago.

Signal chatter cast doubt on diplomatic progress. Cease fire by April 21 dropped 16 points at 2:54 PM after the real war deal was revealed. The Trump-Iran summit by April 30 the market is at 22.4% YES, from 16% yesterday, although this move looks more like an uncertain return than a real prospect of negotiations.

Market of Trump announces the end of military operations against Iran they have no sales, which shows that the traders are not suddenly prices. Waltz’s downloaded dialogue points to the current situation and makes the ceasefire almost impossible.

Active military operations indicate that negotiations have been suspended. Signal leakage directly contradicts any talk of imminent detente. A YES shares on 20.5¢ pays $1 if the ceasefire is extended to April 21, a 2.7x on return. In order for the bet to pay off, you must believe that the last embassy change.

Look for statements from CENTCOM or congressional probes on Signal releases. Everyone can move the opportunity to resolve conflicts more.

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