NBC reports that US agencies in the Middle East have suffered more damage than is publicly acknowledged. The war against Iran by April 30 will come
Market performance
The April 30 market lives on
Why is it important?
Trump’s chances of announcing an end to military operations against Iran could fall if damage reports continue, as declaring a recession is difficult to justify politically. There are no recent trading activities available in this market, so a crash report adds uncertainty without triggering an inward move.
Iran’s military market shows a 100% YES for a steady attack on Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE. But there is no active trading in these contracts, making them placeholders rather than real price indicators.
This information comes from a Tier 3 source, so it needs to be interpreted with caution. If the high ground confirms the damage, the calculations can change. The YES portion of the war against Iran by April 30 costs 1¢, which can be paid
For you to see
Pentagon press releases or the leak of satellite images that provide real evidence of the damage. Any approval or denial from the Pentagon could move these markets.
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