## Market overview
The “Strait of Hormuz” market will return to normal at the end of May “The stock market is at 5% YES, from 4% in the previous 24 hours. The nuclear deal “US-Iran by June 30” the market is at the price of 22% YES, down slightly from 23% the previous day.
## Essentials
– Iran’s views seem to increase the chances of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran, and indicate progress in the negotiations. – Market prices for the re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz indicate the possibility of increased sea traffic at the end of May. – A possible nuclear deal by June is supported by Iran’s decision to transfer uranium to Russia, although market prices show doubts remain.
## News Agency
Iran has offered a revised proposal for gradual stabilization and reopening of the troubled Strait of Hormuz, as well as a long-term freeze on its nuclear program by transferring enriched uranium to Russia. This comes amid the ongoing 2026 Iran-United States conflict, which escalated following the strike on Iran’s nuclear weapons and retaliation against Iran. The recent ceasefire has been marked by talks facilitated by Pakistan. The Strait of Hormuz, an important maritime strait, is particularly important in this regard, and also highlights the importance of maritime security in the region. The transfer of uranium to Russia is seen as a key step in reducing nuclear power, removing potentially usable stockpiles.
## Market Definition
The beginning of Iran’s opinion seems to be in line with the results of YES in the market “Strait of Hormuz will return to the place at the end of May”, which shows a great development in this matter. Diplomatic cooperation between the US and Iran is also seen as a possibility, implying a slight support for the YES result in the “US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market. However, the “US-Iran nuclear by June” market shows a little doubt, the prices are related to the uncertainty about the final agreement and the deadline.
## Must Watch
Information that needs to be reviewed includes announcements from the White House or the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs regarding confirmed diplomatic meetings. Observers should also check for any reports from CENTCOM or the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps regarding the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, statements by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the United Nations Security Council regarding nuclear weapons enforcement and sanctions may also affect market sentiment.
Get predictive market intelligence as a regular API feed. Early access.




