Polymarket bettors now give the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) a 47% chance of becoming law in 2026, as White House officials plan to meet with conservatives.
Wednesday’s meeting marks the latest attempt to deal with the opposition, with moral and economic principles remaining.
Where the CLARITY Act Stands Now
Senate Banking Committee The committee has made progress CLARITY Act voted 15-9 on May 14. Two Democrats crossed to support it. The bill still needs 60 votes to clear the full Senate.
However, forecasters have been more cautious since then. Galaxy Research CEO Alex Thorn cut his 2026 forecast to 60% from 75% on June 5. A permanent senate calendar.
Prediction Market Polymarket it tells a similar story. Investors buy the 2026 bill at 47%, down from 74% a month ago. The market has settled as the legislative window narrows before the August deadline.
During the Third White House Conference
Meanwhile, on Wednesday, the administration is expected to have legal teams at the White House. Reporter Eleanor Terrett reported on the meeting, citing three sources familiar with it.
In terms of developer protections from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA). Opponents fear the laws could weaken efforts to combat money laundering and other illegal activities.
“This issue, as well as the ethics, is still one of the main points that must be resolved before the legislators can bring this bill to the Senate,” Terrett. he wrote. “Several Democrats have signaled they will not support the legislation unless lobbyists believe their concerns are adequately addressed.”
Several Democrats joined the effort. Senator Angela Alsobrooks they did not support him on the floor vote until the negotiators resolved the remaining disputes.
Meanwhile, the crypto industry is pushing for a vote. More than 200 companies and groups urged Senate leaders to fix the bill on June 7 letter. Signatories include Blockchain Association, Stand With Crypto, Crypto Council for Innovation, and Digital Chamber.
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Wednesday’s meeting could decide whether the negotiators can conclude before the end of the break. Until the law to prove it satisfied, the Democratic crossover votes the bill requires will be in doubt.
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A note Polymarket Odds on CLARITY Act Passage Drop Amid Ethics Objection appeared for the first time BeInCrypto.
