The four-year Bitcoin (BTC) trading model says the next accumulation window opens at the end of November 2026, about 500 days before April 2028.
This rule, which was shared by an expert Crypto Roverit tells traders to buy 500 days before each half and sell 500 days after. His time has followed the last three steps of Bitcoin.
The 500 Day Rule Has Followed Three Cycles
The Crypto Rover chart shows a green buy zone 500 days before each halving and a red sell zone 500 days later. The pattern repeats every cycle since 2013.
History helps the selling side. Bitcoin peaked approximately 526 days after the 2016 low and approximately 545 days after the 2020 low.
The 2024 around Reconnect with the example. Bitcoin peaked at $126,296 on October 6, 2025.
This high came 535 days after the April 2024 low. It was within the 480 to 550 day window that is regularly observed, according to CoinGecko data.
The buying side has also worked. The 500-day mark before 2020 was down in December 2018 near $3,200.
A similar buying window before 2016 half held the early 2015 low. In all cases, the accumulation began when the mind was still very wrong.
Bitcoin Halving Countdown Points to November 2026 Buy
Next thing reduce set on April 13, 2028, at block 1,050,000. Current calculations put the event at about 658 days.
At that time, the block reward drops from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. Time connects all the symbols in the model.
Counting back 500 days puts the buying window close to November 30, 2026. That’s about five months from now.
The actual sell-off date, after the 500-day low, falls in late August 2029. However, previous highs reached near the 535-day mark, indicating a mid- to late-2029 sell-off point.
This move shows that the law works well as a large unit rather than a single day. Traders who made the 2025 mark in this way still came out close to historical figures.
Bitcoin Price Trends and Weak Points of the Cycle
Bitcoin trades near $62,675, up 0.8% in 24 hours, with a market value of $1.26 trillion. The price is down more than 50% from its October 2025 record.
That decline is still consistent with current trends. Each Bitcoin bear market has been deeper than the last, from 86% to 84%, then 78%, and now almost 50%.
Analysts get a lot of money from stock exchanges and corporate wealth to cut back on that. Many are debated around the world money now drives value rather than block reward.
This change is important for the model. The peak of October 2025 was designed as a slow pulse rather than a strong pulse, and the most advanced indicators such as MVRV failed to show it.
The model also has clear limitations. It rests on just three full lines, and the sell symbol is triggered quickly each time. Other researchers give suggestions four years running up to five years, which will push it to the top after that.
Delay can also move the buy signal. If the halving is passed by mid-April 2028, the 500-day mark will be entered in December 2026. Traders looking for this trend can treat late 2026 as a trend rather than a fixed date.
Currently, this command provides a simple map. Whether the November 2026 buy signal shows the bottom again, or the first cycle is missed, will define the next two years of Bitcoin.
A note Bitcoin’s 500-Day Halving Rule Illuminates Next Buy Signal in November 2026 appeared for the first time BeInCrypto.
