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Ahmed Barakat
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Bitcoin News: The price of BTC rose from $ 61,100 to above $ 63,400 on June 11 after President Trump canceled the planned attack on Iran and said that the peace agreement could be signed at the beginning of this week, a move of 3% that corresponds to the biggest risk in all sectors.
The catalyst weathered one major storm, but it came on the back of 13 consecutive Bitcoin ETF outflows totaling $4.4 billion, the worst run of redemptions since its inception in January 2024.
The Federal Reserve meets on June 16-17, and that overhang has not moved.
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Bitcoin News: Iran Deal Sparks Risk-on Rally In Crypto and Equities
Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has stopped the planned strikes on Iran, and that Iran has accepted many of the peace documents, removed the risk that had been present in the markets for several weeks.
The S&P 500 jumped 1.75%, the Nasdaq rose 2.5%, and the Dow gained more than 900 points in the same session. BTC price followed all three, not gold.
That’s a big difference. The behavior of Bitcoin through the Iranian sector directly cuts the security issue.
As US-Iran tensions escalated, BTC fell along with equities. When Trump announced the deal, it rose 3% at the close with the Nasdaq, a book risk-on movenot a safe place. Brent crude proved to be a macro read, falling nearly 3% to around $90 a barrel as risk of access to the Strait of Hormuz eased.
Altcoins more than Bitcoin in the matter. ETH gained 4%, Solana rose 6.8%, and Cardano rose 6.6%, the kind of big difference that shows up when the risk factor returns quickly across the coin stack.
Some analysts argue that the selloff that led to the move appears to be more cyclical than it actually is, pointing to the speed of the price reversal as evidence that it still exists.
$4.4 Billion Out in 13 Sectors, ETF Stream That Means Institutional Investments
Thirteen episodes in a row. $4.4 billion in net proceeds from Bitcoin ETF assets. This is the worst redemption strategy since the inception of ETFs, and it fixes everything about the current setup.
Fidelity’s FBTC took the brunt of the selloff throughout the period, while IBIT also recorded the largest single-share redemptions, $214 million in a single session on June 5 alone.
The exit line it marks the end of the importance of institutionsled by two winds at the same time: geopolitical risk pushing money to gold and bonds, and Fed uncertainty blocking the risk appetite ahead of the FOMC.
One of those drivers got out on June 11. The other didn’t. Bitcoin has held its value through the redemption rate, which is either a sign of confidence from the retail and foreign markets in response to institutional outflows, or a conflict that still needs to be resolved. We are not solving it yet.
Analysts are constantly pointing out the difference: the impact of energy prices on Iran’s headlines, the ongoing outflow of US ETFs. The a fall in institutional and institutional purchases of BTC It is the foundation that the Iranian assembly resides in. A single catalyst does not remove the 13 levels of redemptive behavior by itself.
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FOMC June 16–17: An Unheard Headwind
One storm blew. One is left. The Federal Reserve Board meets on June 16-17, when the market is at 98%.
Catching a price tag, that’s not a risk. Risks are in the wording and future guidance that follows the decision.
The warning of the organizations through the 13 exit points was not limited to Iran. Stronger-than-expected payrolls in May, a rise in Treasury yields, and a decline in expectations for a longer-term rate cut, all forced the case to return to risk in Bitcoin.
If the Fed shows a clear path to the jump at the June 17 FOMC statement, the remnants of the remaining storms and the institutional movement will have the argument to re-enter the cleanup.
If the statement is read as hawkish or vague, high-profile for too long, the relief of the Iran deal could quickly fade.
