New Bitcoin Lows? Experts Say Chances Are ‘Extremely Low’


Binance pool miner reserves dropped from 41,987 to 41,915 in May, a small but significant sign that the selling pressure from miners has not stopped. Crypto analysts said that because Binance Pool controls a large portion of the hash in the world, its behavior tends to show how Bitcoin miners hear before the big market starts.

Collaborative Reading

The Miner Position Index remains below the historic sell-off, and the Puell Multiple – the number of miners’ earnings compared to the long-term – is still below one. Researchers have described the current trend as a “waiting phase,” a pattern that has been seen near previous trends.

Long-Term Residents Take Part in Giving

More than 70% of all Bitcoin in circulation is now in the hands of investors who have held it for a year. This number passed above 15 million BTC for the first time since October 2025, according to CryptoQuant data.

The CryptoZeno expert said that the metrics with one year of consolidation have returned to the territory that, in the previous lines, came before the prices. Based on reports citing CryptoZeno’s analysisSimilar readings appeared ahead of higher moves in 2013, 2016, 2019, and at the end of 2022. When these workers are buying instead of selling, the available supply strengthens – and historically, that has not been a good time to bet on low prices.

BTCUSD trading at $77,717 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

Major Technical Indicator Turns Bullish

Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index re-tested the 50 level this week, prompting a special reading by crypto analyst Sykodelic. This reversal came 105 days after Bitcoin’s weekly RSI fell into oversold territory – only the fourth time this has happened on record.

Sykodelic noted that three of the four events led to long-term price increases. One exception was 2022, where FTX to fall it dragged the market to a new low after the first recovery attempt, and the RSI failed to recover the 50 level during this period. This time it really happened.

Dropping Under $60,000 Called ‘Very Slim’

Taken together, experts say that the data is moving away from the new damage. The combination of long-term holders converging near historic lows, a technical indicator that is improving for the first time since February, and the mine’s performance in line with previous lows, experts are largely unanimous in their opinion.

Collaborative Reading

The odds of Bitcoin falling below $60,000 again, Sykodelic said, remain very slim.

Whether that confidence remains depends on whether the market can avoid external shocks — such as a major exchange-rate failure — that broke the system in 2022.

Image from Yellow, chart from TradingView





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