## Market overview
The Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit market is currently at 79% YES for 20 ships transiting by May 31, fixed the previous day. Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement Market shows 48% YES, a significant increase from 25% in the previous 24 hours. Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May market shows 5% YES, up from 2% the previous day.
## Essentials
– The strike by the US Navy seems to indicate a tightening of the security of Hormuz, in line with the decrease in the possibility of passage of ships. – Market prices indicate a decline in President Trump’s announcement of the lifting of the blockade by May 31. – The attack indicates increased tensions, reducing the possibility of normal transport in the Strait of Hormuz by May 15.
## News Agency
The recent engagement of the US Navy with an Iranian-flagged vessel in the Gulf of Oman shows the continued pressure of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This comes as the US and Iran are working to ease the blockade, but the actions of the US Central Command show a reluctance to maintain the restrictions. This follows the US-Israeli air campaign launched in February 2026, which escalated tensions in the region. Despite the nominal cessation of hostilities and the suspension of US escort flights, the blockade remains a sensitive issue as both countries compete for control of the sea route.
## Market Definition
The strike of the US Navy contributes significantly to the NO results in the corresponding markets. This shows a significant impact on the ability of 20 ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 and reduces the chances of President Trump announcing the lifting of the blockade. The increase also affects the hope that traffic will be back to normal by mid-May. Markets seem to interpret the pressure as a sign of ongoing tensions between countries.
## Must Watch
Attention should be focused on the upcoming announcements from the US and Iran officials, which may affect market sentiment. In addition, developments in diplomatic negotiations or military changes with other countries may affect market changes. The possibility of other naval events or announcements regarding the blockade situation would be key indicators for market participants.
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